Thinking in Bets
- Downloads
- 10K+
- First published
- 2018
- Pages
- 247
About this book
Thinking in Bets, published in 2018, is Annie Duke's book on making decisions when you cannot know all the facts. Duke, a former professional poker player who also studied cognitive psychology, explains that every decision is a bet on an uncertain future, and that good decisions can still have bad outcomes. She warns against what she calls resulting, judging a decision only by how it turned out, and shows how to think in probabilities, question your own beliefs and use a group to test your reasoning. Tools such as pre-mortems and backcasting help readers plan for what might go wrong. The book draws on poker, psychology and examples from business and everyday life, and is aimed at readers who want to make clearer choices.
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Book facts
- Author
- Annie Duke
- First published
- 2018
- Reading time
- About 5 hours
- Pages
- 247
- Language
- English
- Genre
- Finance
- Formats
- PDF, EPUB, MOBI, Read online